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Weak productivity doesn't cause inflation

Inflation

Weak productivity doesn't cause inflation

Monetary policy, not productivity, determines inflation.

By Justin Pyvis 05 Feb 2026
The RBA's false dawn

Inflation

The RBA's false dawn

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets today to make its first decision of 2026. Six months ago it was cutting rates; today, markets are pricing in a full 25 basis point hike, and all four major banks are forecasting the same. If it happens as expected, it'll

By Justin Pyvis 03 Feb 2026
The precious metals crash

Commodities

The precious metals crash

Gold had its worst day since 1983. Silver fell 30%. Every outlet blamed Trump's Fed pick. But the data tell a different story.

By Justin Pyvis 01 Feb 2026
Canada's new path

Trade

Canada's new path

Mark Carney's Davos speech signalled a new path for Canada. Trump's response is vindicating it.

By Justin Pyvis 29 Jan 2026
Australia's inflation problem is back

Inflation

Australia's inflation problem is back

Or did it never go away?

By Justin Pyvis 27 Jan 2026
Sell America?

Trade

Sell America?

Easier said than done.

By Justin Pyvis 22 Jan 2026
China's slowing down

Growth

China's slowing down

China's real GDP grew 4.5% in Q4, its slowest pace in three years. But the details are worse than the headline.

By Justin Pyvis 20 Jan 2026
Rare earths aren't rare

Commodities

Rare earths aren't rare

Trump wants Greenland, but it's not because of its rare earth reserves.

By Justin Pyvis 18 Jan 2026
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